Will Real Estate Prices in the US increase by at least 25% by the end of 2027?
TechOne-OffMacro & EconomyEconomy1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 81.6%
Forecasters
40
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleDec 27, 22, 6:33 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Prediction #7 in my "Great Logging Off" market
- Meta-market: https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/how-many-of-my-predictions-in-marke-089c96830000?groupId=KgzUh68PEIltJSzCnmF2
- Blog post: https://www.fortressofdoors.com/ai-markets-for-lemons-and-the-great-logging-off
- This resolves YES, if, by the end of 2027, this FRED graph shows a value that is 25% higher (1.25x) than it was in Q3 2022 ($542,900), or $678,625.
- https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/ASPUS
- For context, 5 years ago, Q3 of 2017, the value was $373,200.
