Will the US Supreme Court overturn gay marriage [Obergefell v. Hodges] before 2030?

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change+2.4pt95%
• 25 bps increase-2.8pt5%
• 25 bps decrease0%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$85.6M

24h Vol

$9.4M

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep-2.0pt62.5%
• D-House, R-Senate28.5%
• Republicans sweep-0.4pt

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party+0.1pt90.5%
• Republican Party+0.1pt9.6%

Total Vol

$75.6M

24h Vol

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico65.5%
• Ken Paxton34.5%

Total Vol

$45.7M

24h Vol

$1.8M

KALSHI

What will Trump say during his rally in Lubbock, Texas?

• Deport / Deported / Deportation+81.0pt99.5%
• Save America Act+4.0pt99.5%
• Sanctuary+9.0pt

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep64.7%
• R Senate, D26.5%
• Republicans Sweep7.8%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$40.4M