Will the US enact export controls on energy products in 2026?
CommoditiesOne-OffPoliticsMiddle East2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 62%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Mar 13, 26, 1:47 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the United States enacts new export controls on energy products (including but not limited to crude oil, refined petroleum products, natural gas, LNG, coal, or uranium) at any point during 2026.
- This includes executive orders, regulatory changes, or legislation that restrict or limit the export of these commodities.
- Resolution is based on official announcements from the Department of Energy, Department of Commerce, or other relevant federal agencies, or passage of legislation by Congress.
- The market resolves NO if no such controls are enacted by December 31, 2026.
- Owing to potential for subjectivity, I will not trade on this market.
