Will the unemployment rate in the Chicago metropolitan area be higher in June 2026 than in May 2026?

InflationOne-OffEconomy Weather Macro & Economy

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Yes (69.6%)

Resolved: Aug 3, 2026, 2:42 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

Yes 69.6%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 13 days ago

Stale

Apr 10, 26, 12:35 PMJul 31, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Yes

69.6%

30.4%

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$77,167.49+6.20%

EthereumETH$2,416.42+3.89%

SolanaSOL$91.00+4.37%

Rules

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to "Yes" if the unemployment rate for the Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI Metropolitan Statistical Area in June 2026 is higher than the rate in May 2026.
It resolves to "No" otherwise.
The primary source for resolution will be the data published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) in their monthly "Metropolitan Area Employment and Unemployment" news release.
Data can be tracked here: https://www.bls.gov/web/metro/laummtrk.htm.

Will the unemployment rate in the Chicago metropolitan area be higher in June 2026 than in May 2026?

InflationOne-OffEconomy Weather Macro & Economy

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Yes (69.6%)

Resolved: Aug 3, 2026, 2:42 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

Yes 69.6%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 13 days ago

Stale

Apr 10, 26, 12:35 PMJul 31, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Yes

69.6%

30.4%

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$77,167.49+6.20%

EthereumETH$2,416.42+3.89%

SolanaSOL$91.00+4.37%

Rules

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to "Yes" if the unemployment rate for the Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI Metropolitan Statistical Area in June 2026 is higher than the rate in May 2026.
It resolves to "No" otherwise.
The primary source for resolution will be the data published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) in their monthly "Metropolitan Area Employment and Unemployment" news release.
Data can be tracked here: https://www.bls.gov/web/metro/laummtrk.htm.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the unemployment rate in the Chicago metropolitan area be higher in June 2026 than in May 2026??: Manifold Markets prices Yes at 70% as of August 7, 2026.
When does Will the unemployment rate in the Chicago metropolitan area be higher in June 2026 than in May 2026? resolve?: Will the unemployment rate in the Chicago metropolitan area be higher in June 2026 than in May 2026? is scheduled to resolve on July 31, 2026.
How is Will the unemployment rate in the Chicago metropolitan area be higher in June 2026 than in May 2026? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria

Will the unemployment rate in the Chicago metropolitan area be higher in June 2026 than in May 2026?

Will the unemployment rate in the Chicago metropolitan area be higher in June 2026 than in May 2026?

Frequently asked questions

Open markets

Fed Decision in September?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)

Fed rate hike by which date?

CPI-U index in August

CPI core in October

Will the unemployment rate in the Chicago metropolitan area be higher in June 2026 than in May 2026?

Will the unemployment rate in the Chicago metropolitan area be higher in June 2026 than in May 2026?

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Frequently asked questions

Open markets

Fed Decision in September?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)

Fed rate hike by which date?

CPI-U index in August

CPI core in October