Will the top model by OpenAI rank 3rd (or lower) behind 2 other model families at any point before 2026?
AI
Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (89.3%)
Resolved: Nov 19, 2025, 2:37 PM
Provider-verified resolution
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Probability Timeline
Yes89.3%
No10.7%
Won
Lost
Rules
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