Will the Percentage of the US Population (Age >= 13) that is Trans Increase in the Next Williams Center Report?
Health & MedicineOne-OffSociety & Culture3y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 95.8%
Yes 95.8%Forecasters
15
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Updated 3 minutes ago
Feb 19, 23, 1:06 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 7:59 AM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
In 2022, the Williams Center released a report about the number of people who identified as Trans in the United States.
- Using data from the CDC's Behavior Risk Factor Surveillance Survey, they concluded that .6% of the US population aged greater than 12 identified as transgender.
- I will resolve this market yes if the next Williams Center demographic report on trans people finds that greater than .6% of the US population aged greater than 12 identified as transgender.
- I will resolve this market as no if the percentage is less than .6%.
- I will resolve this market N/A if the Williams Center never issues another report.
- (The last report before this one came out in 2016-2017.)
