Will the number of truck drivers in the US more than halve before 2029?
One-OffAITechMacro & Economy2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 85.3%
Forecasters
46
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleJul 19, 23, 1:22 PM UTCJun 29, 29, 10:01 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
https://www.bls.gov/oes/current/oes533032.htm Currently, there are about two million truck drivers employed in the US.
- However, self-driving trucks could automate a significant fraction of this sector.
- Will this happen before January 2029? (Will resolve based on BLS or similar source.
- May resolve up to six months later in case there are no reliable sources and its not already clear.)
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the number of truck drivers in the US more than halve before 2029??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 85% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the number of truck drivers in the US more than halve before 2029? resolve?
- Will the number of truck drivers in the US more than halve before 2029? is scheduled to resolve on June 29, 2029.
- How is Will the number of truck drivers in the US more than halve before 2029? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://www.bls.gov/oes/current/oes533032.htm Currently, there are about two million truck drivers employed in the US.