Will the METR AI coding uplift market be resolved based on the Feb 2026 updated estimate?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the METR AI coding uplift market be resolved based on the Feb 2026 updated estimate??

Manifold Markets prices No at 70.2% as of October 28, 2026.

When does Will the METR AI coding uplift market be resolved based on the Feb 2026 updated estimate? resolve?

Will the METR AI coding uplift market be resolved based on the Feb 2026 updated estimate? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.

How is Will the METR AI coding uplift market be resolved based on the Feb 2026 updated estimate? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The market in question:

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KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini+17.8pt48%
• Claude-14.4pt45.2%
• ChatGPT-0.4pt6.1%

+5 more outcomes

Total Vol

$15.9M

24h Vol

$184.9K

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+1.2pt95%
• December 15,+1.0pt93%
• November 30,-2.0pt87%

+15 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-3.0pt27.7%
• $2.0–$2.25T+1.7pt23.8%
• $1.5–$1.75T-0.7pt15.8%

+7 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Google+16.0pt50.5%
• Anthropic-14.5pt41.4%
• OpenAI-0.2pt6.1%

+12 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+3.1pt98%
• Anthropic-3.0pt2%
• Alibaba-0.1pt0%

+18 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

• $1.5T–$1.75T+3.8pt21%
• <$1T-8.3pt21%
• $1.25T–$1.5T+0.6pt19%

+5 more outcomes

• When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?
• Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO?
• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• Gemini Carbon released by which date?
• Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?