Will the first self-sustaining base on Mars begin being established within 20 years as Elon Musk says?
SpaceOne-Off18y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 80%
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11
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 8, 24, 6:57 PM UTCJan 1, 45, 4:59 AM UTC
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KalshiRules
resolve YES if a starship that attempts to land on mars or orbit mars launches by the end of 2044 with the parts and/or people necessary to establish a permanent city or base
- @/strutheo/will-the-first-uncrewed-starship-to@/strutheo/will-the-first-crewed-starship-to-m