Selected book midpoint
Violent · —
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Stored reference
Violent 68.6%Leader of 4 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Violent 68.6%Market quality
51 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$7.6K
Liquidity
$3.3K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$4K
Bid / Ask
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ViolentSpread
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Comments
1
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Oct 15, 26, 3:03 PM UTCOct 30, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Violent
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve according to the peak intensity of Champi.
- Peak intensity means the highest intensity class the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) assigns to Champi in an analysis published for the storm.
- Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes".
- If JMA never assigns Champi an intensity class, this market will resolve to "the named outcome".
- JMA's own bounds: "the named outcome" is under 33 m/s (64 kt), "Strong" is 33 to 44 m/s (64 to 85 kt), "the named outcome" is 44 to 54 m/s (85 to 105 kt), and "Violent" is 54 m/s (105 kt) or more.
- JMA states the intensity class in the "Intensity" field of each analysis it publishes for the storm, alongside the storm's "Grade", and assigns an intensity class only to a cyclone it grades "TY".
