Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 76%
Forecasters
53
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleJun 11, 24, 7:59 AM UTCJan 1, 50, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will we have full self-driving cars before we have self-sustaining fusion?
Manifold MarketsSelf-sustaining automated global economy by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill the first self-sustaining base on Mars begin being established within 20 years as Elon Musk says?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a relatively safe way to increase the IQ of the average adult by 25+ points with under $200k before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
PolymarketRules
Criteria for Resolution:
- Self-Sustaining Space Colony:
- - A space colony must be established that can support human life autonomously with a sustainable supply of necessary matter and energy.
- Requirements for Self-Sustaining:
- - The colony must be capable of producing its own food, water, and oxygen.
- - It must have reliable sources of energy sufficient to support the needs of its inhabitants.
