Will the first uncrewed Starship to Mars launch within 2 years as Elon Musk says?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the first uncrewed Starship to Mars launch within 2 years as Elon Musk says??

Manifold Markets prices No at 98.3% as of October 26, 2026.

When does Will the first uncrewed Starship to Mars launch within 2 years as Elon Musk says? resolve?

Will the first uncrewed Starship to Mars launch within 2 years as Elon Musk says? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.

How is Will the first uncrewed Starship to Mars launch within 2 years as Elon Musk says? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: resolve YES if an uncrewed starship that attempts to land on mars or orbit mars launches by the end of 2026.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

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KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $69,000 or above99.5%
• $72,000 or above+2.0pt98%
• $73,500 or above+1.0pt96.5%

+47 more outcomes

Total Vol

$884.9K

24h Vol

$403.1K

KALSHI

Where will it rain on Oct 26, 2026?

• Seattle+12.0pt99.5%
• West Palm Beach+22.0pt99.5%
• Denver+35.0pt

KALSHI

Bitcoin price at the end of 2026

• 75,000 to 79,999.99-0.4pt15.3%
• 80,000 to 84,999.99-0.7pt15.3%
• 85,000 to 89,999.99-0.3pt

POLYMARKET

Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?

• 320-339+8.0pt24%
• 300-31918.3%
• 340-359+7.3pt18.3%

+27 more outcomes

KALSHI

Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 26, 2026?

• 68° to 69°+40.0pt98.5%
• 70° to 71°-18.0pt1%
• 67° or below-15.0pt

KALSHI

Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 26, 2026?

• 48° to 49°+55.0pt99.5%
• 47° or below-32.0pt0.5%
• 50° to 51°-23.0pt

• Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 26, 2026?
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