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No 96.3%
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175
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binary
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Updated 20 hours ago
StaleFeb 7, 23, 6:16 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 8:00 AM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2030?
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PolymarketHow many launches will SpaceX have in October?
KalshiRules
"To Mars" just means that the target of the mission is, in some meaningful sense, the planet Mars.
- It doesn't have to be a landing; an orbit around the planet or a close flyby also qualify.
- However simply going out past Mars's orbital distance from the sun, while not actually approaching the planet itself, does not count.
- "Send" means that a rocket lifted off the launchpad for that target.
- A mission that is simply scheduled for the future does not count.
- A mission that lifts off and then blows up 2 feet above the launch pad still counts.