Current community forecast
No 97.6%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleNov 1, 22, 8:09 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Voyager Station space hotel receive its first guests in 2027?
FutuurWill a space hotel be operational before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill the US NRC approve a TerraPower construction permit application for Kemmerer Power Station Unit 1 by Sept 10 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich year do we lose contact with Voyager 1?
Manifold MarketsWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketRules
The Voyager Station, a hotel designed to travel around Earth's orbit, is set to be built by the Orbital Assembly Corporation.
- The construction of the space hotel is expected to begin in 2026 so that it can be operational and receive its first guests by 2027.
- If the Voyager Station has its construction initiated on or before December 31st, 2026, this market will be resolved as "Yes"
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-1.8pt9%
- Google2%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.7M
- 24h Vol
- $121.9K
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Total Vol
- $53.1K
- 24h Vol
- $53.1K
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt59.4%
- SpaceX-4.0pt38.5%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-16.0pt19%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 2027-0.5pt67%
- June 30, 2027-0.5pt53%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the construction of the space hotel Voyager Station begin in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 98% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the construction of the space hotel Voyager Station begin in 2026? resolve?
- Will the construction of the space hotel Voyager Station begin in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will the construction of the space hotel Voyager Station begin in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The Voyager Station, a hotel designed to travel around Earth's orbit, is set to be built by the Orbital Assembly Corporation.
- Where else is Will the construction of the space hotel Voyager Station begin in 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Futuur.