Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
2035-2036 17.6%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
17
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleFeb 2, 24, 7:14 PM UTCJan 1, 50, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the construction of the space hotel Voyager Station begin in 2026?
Manifold MarketsConstruction of the space hotel Voyager Station to begin by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill the Voyager Station space hotel receive its first guests in 2027?
FutuurWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
PolymarketRules
Voyager 1 is still on its way to outer space and currently (Jan. 2024) 24.4 billion km away from earth.
- Due to dimishing radioactiv power a lot of instruments had to shut down, but the probe is still able to send data.
- Even though that takes 22.5h one way and currently only transmits glitched data this counts for the purpose of this market.
- This market will resolve to the year in which the last successful communication with the probe will be made.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voyager_1
Open markets
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-1.8pt9%
- Google2%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.7M
- 24h Vol
- $121.9K
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Total Vol
- $53.1K
- 24h Vol
- $53.1K
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt59.4%
- SpaceX-4.0pt38.5%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-16.0pt19%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 2027-0.5pt67%
- June 30, 2027-0.5pt53%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which year do we lose contact with Voyager 1??
- Manifold Markets prices 2035-2036 at 18% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Which year do we lose contact with Voyager 1? resolve?
- Which year do we lose contact with Voyager 1? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2050.
- How is Which year do we lose contact with Voyager 1? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Voyager 1 is still on its way to outer space and currently (Jan. 2024) 24.4 billion km away from earth.