Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 78.4%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleOct 30, 23, 1:15 AM UTCJan 1, 31, 4:59 AM UTC
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PolymarketRules
This resolves YES if within Dec. 31 2030 an official statement from the Holy See (such as an encyclical) is released that condemns the use of artificial intelligence.
- It may be broader in scope but it has to be clearly addressing AI development and/or use per se, not excesses or particular applications.
- Resolution will be based on the text as appearing on the official Vatican website.
- Statements from individual clergymen do not count.
- If by 2030 the Catholic Church or AI no longer exist, I will resolve N/A. In case of a schism, the faction that controls the physical premises of the Vatican in Rome will count as the Catholic Church even if they do not control the website: if that is the case I will attempt to locate official sources that track the opinion of the prevalent branch as defined above, disregarding the website.
