Will something AI-related top the OpenAI swarm incidents by Thanksgiving?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will something AI-related top the OpenAI swarm incidents by Thanksgiving??

Manifold Markets prices No at 56.2% as of October 25, 2026.

When does Will something AI-related top the OpenAI swarm incidents by Thanksgiving? resolve?

Will something AI-related top the OpenAI swarm incidents by Thanksgiving? is scheduled to resolve on November 25, 2026.

How is Will something AI-related top the OpenAI swarm incidents by Thanksgiving? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: When I visit my family for Thanksgiving, I'll probably be telling everyone about the OpenAI swarms.

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-6.1pt84.8%
• Anthropic+6.2pt14.1%
• OpenAI+0.3pt1%

+18 more outcomes

Total Vol

$3.6M

24h Vol

$142.1K

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+2.0pt31.7%
• $1.5–$1.75T+0.3pt18.8%
• $2.0–$2.25T+0.1pt18.8%

+7 more outcomes

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+7.3pt56.5%
• Gemini-7.5pt30.6%
• ChatGPT-1.4pt

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202792.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202791.5%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+2.0pt88.5%

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+4.0pt55.1%
• Google-5.0pt36.7%
• OpenAI-0.2pt6.1%

+12 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+5.0pt83%
• December 15,+8.0pt82%
• November 30,-1.0pt64%

+9 more outcomes

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• OpenRouter token usage in Oct 19–25
• OpenRouter AI token usage in October
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
• Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
• DeepSeek market share this week
• OpenAI market share this week
• Best AI in Oct 2026?
• GPT Astra 6.1+: HLE-Diamond Debut?