Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 59%
Forecasters
90
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMay 12, 22, 1:30 AM UTCJan 1, 50, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will anybody born before 2000 live to be 150?
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PolymarketRules
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/353/will-someone-born-before-2001-live-to-be-150/
Open markets
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Total Vol
- $18.1M
- 24h Vol
- $23.2K
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $6K
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Total Vol
- $97.1K
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000-1.0pt96%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1M
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.8K
KALSHIWhen will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Before July 2027+67.0pt97%
- Before 202872%
- Before October 202752%
- Total Vol
- $4.9K
- 24h Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 59% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150? resolve?
- Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2150.
- How is Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/353/will-someone-born-before-2001-live-to-be-150/