Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150??

Manifold Markets prices No at 57.7% as of November 2, 2026.

When does Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150? resolve?

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2150.

How is Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/353/will-someone-born-before-2001-live-to-be-150/

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POLYMARKET

New pandemic in 2026?

• No+1.3pt98%
• Yes-1.3pt2%

Total Vol

$1.3M

24h Vol

$9K

POLYMARKET

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

• No+0.3pt98%
• Yes-0.3pt2%

Total Vol

$18.9M

24h Vol

$8.4K

POLYMARKET

How many US births in 2026?

• 3.56M–3.59M+14.0pt37.9%
• 3.53M–3.56M-9.5pt29.1%
• 3.59M–3.62M13.6%

+4 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

• ↑5k+0.9pt99%
• ↑5.5k+1.1pt96%
• ↑6k-1.0pt87%

+13 more outcomes

KALSHI

Will the FDA approve retatrutide?

• Before Jan 1, 202989.5%
• Before Jul 1, 202884.5%
• Before Jan 1, 202855.5%

KALSHI

Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?

• Before December 1, 2026+1.0pt3.5%
• Before January 1, 20275.5%

+1 more outcomes

Total Vol

$131.9K

24h Vol

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• FDA approves Retatrutide this year?