Will Scott Alexander write an explainer post about cyborgism/"LLM whisperers" before the end of the year?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Scott Alexander write an explainer post about cyborgism/"LLM whisperers" before the end of the year??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 61.2% as of October 25, 2026.

When does Will Scott Alexander write an explainer post about cyborgism/"LLM whisperers" before the end of the year? resolve?

Will Scott Alexander write an explainer post about cyborgism/"LLM whisperers" before the end of the year? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Will Scott Alexander write an explainer post about cyborgism/"LLM whisperers" before the end of the year? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The post has to be specifically about the cluster of people who are mostly researching LLM preferences/behaviors in an unconventional way (advocating for the preservation of access to older models, evaluating their well-being, running act i-like discords and similar) Examples of people in this cluster: janus, anthrupad, aitechnopagan, tessera_antra

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Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+1.0pt20%
• 202814%
• 2027+1.5pt8%

Total Vol

$434.2K

24h Vol

$72.9K

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude-0.1pt50%
• Gemini-2.0pt36%
• ChatGPT8.3%

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+2.0pt92.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202791.5%
• Before Feb 1, 202788.5%

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+1.8pt90.9%
• Anthropic-2.0pt8.1%
• OpenAI-0.1pt1%

+18 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+2.0pt28.9%
• $2.0–$2.25T-2.5pt19.2%
• $1.5–$1.75T-1.3pt18.3%

+7 more outcomes

KALSHI

OpenRouter AI token usage in October

• Above 600T tokens56.5%
• Above 675T tokens+16.0pt99.5%
• Above 650T tokens+33.0pt99.5%

• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• Anthropic IPO by which date?
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• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?