Will Scott Alexander write an explainer post about cyborgism/"LLM whisperers" before the end of the year?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Scott Alexander write an explainer post about cyborgism/"LLM whisperers" before the end of the year??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 61.2% as of October 25, 2026.

When does Will Scott Alexander write an explainer post about cyborgism/"LLM whisperers" before the end of the year? resolve?

Will Scott Alexander write an explainer post about cyborgism/"LLM whisperers" before the end of the year? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Will Scott Alexander write an explainer post about cyborgism/"LLM whisperers" before the end of the year? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The post has to be specifically about the cluster of people who are mostly researching LLM preferences/behaviors in an unconventional way (advocating for the preservation of access to older models, evaluating their well-being, running act i-like discords and similar) Examples of people in this cluster: janus, anthrupad, aitechnopagan, tessera_antra

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-3.9pt87.6%
• Anthropic+3.8pt11.3%
• OpenAI+0.1pt1%

+18 more outcomes

Total Vol

$3.6M

24h Vol

$151.2K

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+1.0pt28.6%
• $2.0–$2.25T+0.3pt19.1%
• $1.5–$1.75T+0.8pt18.1%

+7 more outcomes

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+4.2pt56.3%
• Gemini-3.8pt30.6%
• ChatGPT-0.8pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 15,+8.5pt82%
• December 31,+5.0pt82%
• November 30,-3.5pt61%

+9 more outcomes

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202794%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt92%
• Before Feb 1, 202788.5%

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+4.0pt56.3%
• Google-5.0pt35.4%
• OpenAI-0.1pt6.3%

+12 more outcomes

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
• Best AI this week
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• GPT Astra 6.1+: HLE-Diamond Debut?
• Best AI in Oct 2026?
• What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
• Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by which date?