Will Scott Alexander (ACX author) come to Austin and attend or host a public event in 2026?
One-OffSociety & Culture3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 88.6%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJan 3, 26, 9:02 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Scott Alexander receives another critical newspaper profile by end of 2026?
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Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+45.0pt96%
- 220-239-11.8pt4%
- 40-590%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
- 24h Vol
- $760.2K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-6444%
- 65-8925%
- <4019%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $27.7K
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- Yes-35.0pt50%
- No50%
- Total Vol
- $3.7K
- 24h Vol
- $3.1K
KALSHIWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- No82%
- Yes+4.0pt18%
- Total Vol
- $21.1K
- 24h Vol
- $1.2K
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Total Vol
- $17.9K
- 24h Vol
- $1.1K
KALSHIHarry Kane Knighted in 2026
- No86%
- Yes+1.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $17.6K
- 24h Vol
- $405.4
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- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Scott Alexander (ACX author) come to Austin and attend or host a public event in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 89% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Scott Alexander (ACX author) come to Austin and attend or host a public event in 2026? resolve?
- Will Scott Alexander (ACX author) come to Austin and attend or host a public event in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.