Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastBreakdown in Pakistan: How Aid Is Eroding Institutions for Collective Action 21.9%Leader of 53 outcomes
Forecasters
31
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+5.9 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJun 4, 26, 5:25 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Scott Alexander (ACX author) come to Austin and attend or host a public event in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves to whoever gets whoever scott declares as winner of the 2026 ACX Book contest.
- If your favorite book review isn't here, you can add it.
