What are the current odds for Will Sam Altman and Dario Amodei hold hands again, before 2030??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 63.6% as of September 30, 2026.

Will Sam Altman and Dario Amodei hold hands again, before 2030?

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Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 63.6%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 3 hours ago

Stale

Feb 19, 26, 6:08 AM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

[tweet]Any video evidence of them shaking hands OR holding hands (fist bump, high-five or similar do not count) are sufficient, as is official statement by either Sam Altman or Dario Amodei or some reliable news source that they shook hands in a non-filmed meeting, or other highly credible reporting.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Sam Altman and Dario Amodei hold hands again, before 2030??: Manifold Markets prices Yes at 63.6% as of September 30, 2026.
When does Will Sam Altman and Dario Amodei hold hands again, before 2030? resolve?: Will Sam Altman and Dario Amodei hold hands again, before 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2029.
How is Will Sam Altman and Dario Amodei hold hands again, before 2030? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: [tweet]Any video evidence of them shaking hands OR holding hands (fist bump, high-five or similar do not count) are sufficient, as is official statement by either Sam Altman or Dario Amodei or some reliable news source that they shook hands in a non-filmed meeting, or other highly credible reporting.

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Will Sam Altman and Dario Amodei hold hands again, before 2030?

Will Sam Altman and Dario Amodei hold hands again, before 2030?

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