Will Safra Catz (CEO of Oracle Corporation) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Crime & JusticeOne-Off3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 9:52 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 79.9%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleApr 8, 23, 11:25 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Peter Attia (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Pascal Soriot (CEO of AstraZeneca) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Mark Zuckerberg (CEO of Meta) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Jack Dorsey (Co-founder of Twitter) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
KalshiRules
Resolves "Yes" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that Safra Catz (CEO of Oracle Corporation) has been criminally charged by police with a serious crime.
- Resolves "No" if this does not happen by Jan 1st, 2030.
- Part of a large question series.
- Question is global -- charges in any country count.
- Charges count even if they do not lead to a conviction, were settled before a conviction, or if he was found not guilty.
- Examples that count: wire fraud, assault, theft.