This market resolved: No (96.5%)
Resolved: Oct 1, 2026, 11:53 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 5:56 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes3.5%
No96.5%
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketNext Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketNext Gemini Pro model release
KalshiRules
Update 2026-09-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified the evidence required to determine if a nerf has occurred:
- isitnerfed.org will not be used as the sole source for resolution.
- Resolution will be based on benchmarks, reports on X, and other reliable, verifiable sources.
- Update 2026-09-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): To resolve as YES, there must be measurable evidence of a meaningful performance drop from multiple reliable and verifiable sources.
- Anecdotal claims and noisy benchmarks will not be sufficient to consider the model nerfed.