Will OpenRouter's top 3 most used models all cost less than $1.00 per million tokens on Dec 31, 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will OpenRouter's top 3 most used models all cost less than $1.00 per million tokens on Dec 31, 2026??

Manifold Markets prices No at 57.6% as of October 26, 2026.

When does Will OpenRouter's top 3 most used models all cost less than $1.00 per million tokens on Dec 31, 2026? resolve?

Will OpenRouter's top 3 most used models all cost less than $1.00 per million tokens on Dec 31, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Will OpenRouter's top 3 most used models all cost less than $1.00 per million tokens on Dec 31, 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: As agent frameworks mature, high-volume, low-cost "inference-optimized" or highly distilled models may completely take over background agent loops from high-cost frontier models.

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+11.0pt94%
• December 15,+11.0pt93%
• November 30,+33.0pt89%

+15 more outcomes

Total Vol

$5.8M

24h Vol

$351.1K

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+4.0pt96.5%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+8.0pt96%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+6.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+2.0pt30.8%
• $2.0–$2.25T+1.6pt20.2%
• $1.5–$1.75T-1.1pt18.3%

+7 more outcomes

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude-0.3pt56.8%
• Gemini+1.9pt32.3%
• ChatGPT-0.4pt

KALSHI

What will JD Vance say during his rally in Kansas?

• America First+52.0pt99.5%
• Working Class / Middle Class+40.0pt99.5%
• Oil / Gas / Gasoline+62.0pt

POLYMARKET

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

• $ANT+45.0pt99%
• $ANTH-23.9pt1%
• $AAI-9.9pt0%

+6 more outcomes

• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• Which company has the best AI model end of October?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• In which month will Anthropic IPO?
• What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• Best AI this week
• Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO?
• Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 26, 2026