Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 76.3%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleApr 15, 26, 4:23 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Does Nectome's preservation protocol work?
Manifold MarketsWill Nectome's human preservation protocol be published in a peer-reviewed journal by end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Nectome have a legally separate nonprofit dedicated to storing patients by the end of the year?
Manifold MarketsHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to YES if Nectome publicly announces they have purchased or made a long-term contract for operating its first physical "preservation center" by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to NO.
Open markets
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Total Vol
- $18.1M
- 24h Vol
- $22.1K
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $6K
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt65%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.8K
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000-1.0pt96%
- Above 6000+1.0pt60%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1M
- 24h Vol
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Nectome have a preservation center by the end of the year??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 76% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Nectome have a preservation center by the end of the year? resolve?
- Will Nectome have a preservation center by the end of the year? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Nectome have a preservation center by the end of the year? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to YES if Nectome publicly announces they have purchased or made a long-term contract for operating its first physical "preservation center" by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.