Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 9:52 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 97.7%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleMay 5, 23, 2:52 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Mojo displace Python as the language of most AI papers on Arxiv by 2030
Manifold MarketsIdaho ballot initiative to amend state constitution to designate English as official language. Yes?
Manifold MarketsWill at least 10 countries have some form of bans on language AI coded into law by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich language will overtake Python as the most popular according to TIOBE index?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiRules
Mojo is a new programming language meant to eventually be a superset of Python (ie all Python code is also valid Mojo code) but with features allowing it to be much faster.
- It's being created by Chris Lattner, who previously created LLVM, Clang, and the Swift programming language, among other things.
- As I understand it, it is intended particularly to solve the current situation where AI code is written in Python using libraries (eg numpy, scipy, pytorch) which are themselves wrappers over code written in C since Python is too slow, making those libraries difficult to debug or extend.
- https://www.modular.com/mojo
- [tweet]At the end of 2026, I will look at a sampling of AI/ML papers published on Arxiv.org.
- If a plurality of papers with code (or otherwise making it clear what language they used) were using Mojo, this resolves YES.