Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 94.5%
Forecasters
25
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleJun 15, 24, 7:33 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How Much Funding Will a Single Manifold Question Raise for My Antibiotic Research?💊🦠🚀
Manifold MarketsWill biopharma VC funding in one year have exceeded $100 billion USD by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill my startup RESMP.DEV become a unicorn, over 1 billion USD market cap, before the the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Demis Hassabis's net worth exceed $3 billion USD by December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRules
Clarifications:
- - MIRI: Refers to the Machine Intelligence Research Institute.
- - Single Year: The funding amount must be received within one calendar year (January 1 to December 31).