Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 12:06 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 76.2%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleFeb 3, 23, 9:01 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Sergio Moro complete his term as Brazilian Senator?
Manifold MarketsWill Ron DeSantis complete his term as governor of Florida?
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell complete his current term as Senator from Kentucky?
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell complete his current term as Senator from Kentucky?
Manifold MarketsKathy Hochul to finish her term as governor of New York?
FutuurWhat will the tariff rate on Brazilian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
