Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 97.7%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleDec 6, 24, 11:57 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If Marc Andreessen is listed as a founder or co-founder of a new company (excluding investment firms, venture capital firms, or holding companies) in any official business filing or reputable news source before January 1, 2026, this market resolves YES.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Marc Andreessen start a new company (not an investment firm) by 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 98% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Will Marc Andreessen start a new company (not an investment firm) by 2026? resolve?
- Will Marc Andreessen start a new company (not an investment firm) by 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Marc Andreessen start a new company (not an investment firm) by 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: If Marc Andreessen is listed as a founder or co-founder of a new company (excluding investment firms, venture capital firms, or holding companies) in any official business filing or reputable news source before January 1, 2026, this market resolves YES.