Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes, within 7 days (97.8%)
Resolved: Oct 24, 2026, 2:46 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 24, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to the named outcome if Moonshot AI officially releases or launches the model known as Kimi K3.1 (or Kimi 3.1) within 7 days of market creation (by October 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC).
- Otherwise, it resolves to the named outcome.
- "Release" is defined as any of the following becoming publicly accessible or officially deployed:
- Availability via the official web interface (kimi.ai / kimi.com) or API.
- Availability in the official Kimi Code interface.