Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 2.5 GWh by Jun 2027?
RegulationOne-Off9moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 55.1%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleFeb 10, 26, 9:32 PM UTCJun 30, 27, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if new iron-air battery capacity installed in the last 15 months (excluding the last 3 months) exceeds 2.5 GWh by 2027-06-30.
- Measurement methodology:
- Calculate total iron-air battery capacity that became operational during the 15-month period ending 3 months before the settlement date
- For 2027-06-30 settlement: measure capacity installed from 2026-01-01 to 2027-04-01
- "Operational" means commissioned and capable of charging/discharging to the grid
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 2.5 GWh by Jun 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 55% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 2.5 GWh by Jun 2027? resolve?
- Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 2.5 GWh by Jun 2027? is scheduled to resolve on June 30, 2027.
- How is Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 2.5 GWh by Jun 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution Criteria