Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 21.0 GWh by Dec 2029?
RegulationOne-Off3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 66.1%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleFeb 10, 26, 9:41 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if new iron-air battery capacity installed in the last 15 months (excluding the last 3 months) exceeds 21.0 GWh by 2029-12-31.
- Measurement methodology:
- Calculate total iron-air battery capacity that became operational during the 15-month period ending 3 months before the settlement date
- For 2029-12-31 settlement: measure capacity installed from 2028-07-04 to 2029-10-02
- "Operational" means commissioned and capable of charging/discharging to the grid
Open markets
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- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
- $289.9K
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- Before Oct 1, 2027-11.0pt44%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-13.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 more outcomes
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- December 31,+4.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
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- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
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- Before May 1, 2027+5.0pt54%
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- $1.25T–$1.5T20.4%
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- $122.2K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 21.0 GWh by Dec 2029??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 66% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 21.0 GWh by Dec 2029? resolve?
- Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 21.0 GWh by Dec 2029? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2029.
- How is Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 21.0 GWh by Dec 2029? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution Criteria