Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 3.5 GWh by Sep 2027?
RegulationOne-OffTechScience1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 56.5%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleFeb 10, 26, 9:33 PM UTCSep 30, 27, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if new iron-air battery capacity installed in the last 15 months (excluding the last 3 months) exceeds 3.5 GWh by 2027-09-30.
- Measurement methodology:
- Calculate total iron-air battery capacity that became operational during the 15-month period ending 3 months before the settlement date
- For 2027-09-30 settlement: measure capacity installed from 2026-04-03 to 2027-07-02
- "Operational" means commissioned and capable of charging/discharging to the grid
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 3.5 GWh by Sep 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 57% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 3.5 GWh by Sep 2027? resolve?
- Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 3.5 GWh by Sep 2027? is scheduled to resolve on September 30, 2027.
- How is Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 3.5 GWh by Sep 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution Criteria