This market resolved: Yes (52.8%)
Resolved: Oct 12, 2026, 11:40 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:02 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will cold showers be shown to be an effective treatment for depression by 2030
General health benefits from cold showers, accepted by 2040?
Will China invade Taiwan directly or will they apply a salami tactic and only take over small islands near the Mainland?
Pandemic in 2026?
Plague pandemic in 2026?
Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?
Rules
This is a commitment device market about only taking cold showers from 5 October to 11 October.
Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:
https://api.coinrithm.com/api/prediction-markets/events/manifold/will-i-only-take-cold-showers-next-NtLNnhNuOsAI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:
https://mcp.coinrithm.com/mcp+13 more outcomes
+5 more outcomes