Will I get any new cavities after applying the Lantern Bioworks strain to my teeth by 2026?
One-OffHealth & MedicineScience3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 91.9%
Forecasters
113
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleSep 27, 23, 2:00 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
I was supposed to get the stuff put on my teeth today, but it got postponed; since I'm leaving town I probably won't get it applied for another month or two.
- It takes about a year for it to become effective, so this market is really "Will I get any new cavities from 1 year after application (latest December 2023, so final cavity check Dec 2024), until the end of 2026?"
- I'll do a dental visit around 1 year from application to check for baseline cavities, and won't count any that exist.
- I am historically very cavity prone, I've had I think 14 cavities? I have good but not great oral hygeine; I brush 1-2 times a day and go through phases of regular flossing and not flossing.
- I last visited the dentist 6 months ago and they said "everything looks pretty good."
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will I get any new cavities after applying the Lantern Bioworks strain to my teeth by 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 92% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will I get any new cavities after applying the Lantern Bioworks strain to my teeth by 2026? resolve?
- Will I get any new cavities after applying the Lantern Bioworks strain to my teeth by 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will I get any new cavities after applying the Lantern Bioworks strain to my teeth by 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: I was supposed to get the stuff put on my teeth today, but it got postponed; since I'm leaving town I probably won't get it applied for another month or two.