Will humanity detect evidence of an extraterrestrial intelligence before the year 2100?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will humanity detect evidence of an extraterrestrial intelligence before the year 2100??

Manifold Markets prices No at 65.2% as of October 29, 2026.

When does Will humanity detect evidence of an extraterrestrial intelligence before the year 2100? resolve?

Will humanity detect evidence of an extraterrestrial intelligence before the year 2100? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2100.

How is Will humanity detect evidence of an extraterrestrial intelligence before the year 2100? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Applies only to the detection of technosignatures that would be emitted by an extraterrestrial civilization anywhere within the Local Group, however defined.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+1.6pt99%
• Anthropic-1.6pt1%
• Alibaba0%

+18 more outcomes

Total Vol

$4.1M

24h Vol

$203.8K

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

• Google+18.5pt71.3%
• Anthropic-17.5pt24.8%
• OpenAI+0.3pt3%

+18 more outcomes

KALSHI

How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

• Above 799.5%
• Above 699.5%
• Above 998.5%

POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• SpaceX+12.5pt54%
• Anthropic+3.5pt46%
• ByteDance0%

+9 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?

• December 31,+5.5pt70%
• June 30,+5.0pt60%
• February 28,+7.5pt38%

+4 more outcomes

KALSHI

When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?

• Before 2028-1.0pt73.5%
• Before May 1, 2027+6.0pt64%
• Before Apr 1, 2027+1.0pt

• Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?
• Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
• AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
• Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?
• Third-best AI Lab end of October?
• Second-best AI Lab end of December?
• Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
• Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of November?