Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 67%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 50 minutes ago
LaggingJan 7, 25, 8:30 PM UTCDec 31, 49, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolution Criteria:
- Energy Capture threshold:
- The structure must capture and utilize at least 1% of the Sun's total energy output.
- Official measurements from at least 3 independent space agencies confirm the energy capture threshold has been reached.
- Specifications:
- The structure(s) can be of any design: Dyson Sphere, Dyson Swarm, etc
