Will Google, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft get into pharma in the next 5 years?
Corporate ActionsOne-OffTechHealth & Medicine1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 66.7%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJun 13, 23, 7:39 AM UTCJun 13, 28, 8:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
From the survey paper "The future of clinical trials and drug development: 2050":
- “Who will run pharma? Google, Amazon, Apple – the big tech companies.”
- The opinion was that, try as they might, Blue-chip pharmaceutical companies and mega contract research organization (CRO) conglomerates have already lost the data initiative.
- It was clear from delegate feedback that we are already seeing technology companies come to the fore as pharma’s trillion dollar spend attracts predators like Google, IBM and Microsoft.
- The consensus was that, by 2050, if you are working in clinical trials and you are not the janitor, then you are a data scientist, probably working at Google.
- This market would resolve as 'yes' if any of the following is true:
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Google, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft get into pharma in the next 5 years??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 67% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Google, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft get into pharma in the next 5 years? resolve?
- Will Google, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft get into pharma in the next 5 years? is scheduled to resolve on June 13, 2028.
- How is Will Google, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft get into pharma in the next 5 years? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: From the survey paper "The future of clinical trials and drug development: 2050":