Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 74.6%
Forecasters
22
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleApr 7, 22, 9:36 PM UTCJan 2, 27, 3:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If Elizabeth Holmes, the founder of Theranos convicted of Wire Fraud in 2022, is in jail on Jan 1, 2027, this will resolve to YES.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Elizabeth Holmes be in jail on Jan 1 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 75% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Will Elizabeth Holmes be in jail on Jan 1 2027? resolve?
- Will Elizabeth Holmes be in jail on Jan 1 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2027.
- How is Will Elizabeth Holmes be in jail on Jan 1 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: If Elizabeth Holmes, the founder of Theranos convicted of Wire Fraud in 2022, is in jail on Jan 1, 2027, this will resolve to YES.
