Current community forecast
Yes 65%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleMay 28, 26, 4:24 AM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if an official report from the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), or the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) states that data centers consumed more than 10.0% of total U.S. electricity usage (or retail sales, consumption, or grid demand) during the calendar year 2028.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Key Details:
- Primary Source of Truth: Reports such as the LBNL/DOE Report on U.S. Data Center Energy Use (available at energy.gov) or the EIA's Annual Energy Outlook / Electric Power Annual (available at eia.gov) covering the calendar year 2028.
- Calculation Fallback: If the report does not explicitly state a final percentage but provides both the U.S. data center electricity consumption (in TWh or BkWh) and total U.S. electricity consumption/sales (in TWh or BkWh) for 2028, the percentage will be calculated as: $$\text{Percentage} = \left(\frac{\text{U.S. Data Center Consumption}}{\text{Total U.S. Electricity Consumption}}\right) \times 100$$