Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 94.7%
Forecasters
22
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 20 hours ago
StaleJul 2, 25, 2:19 AM UTCDec 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Cursor (Anysphere) and Claude (Anthropic) merge before the end of 2026?
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PolymarketTop AI model in September?
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Manifold MarketsRules
Anysphere, the developer of AI-powered coding assistant Cursor, and Anthropic, creator of the AI language model Claude, have both seen significant growth and investment in recent years.
- This market predicts whether the two companies will announce a formal M&A before Dec,31, 2026.
- Resolution will be based on official announcements from either company's website or reputable news sources.
Open markets
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-6.0pt63.4%
- 2027-12.5pt29.7%
- 2026-2.5pt6.9%
- Total Vol
- $262.9K
- 24h Vol
- $176.7K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+0.5pt85%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-2.3pt57.7%
- ChatGPT+1.4pt26.9%
- Grok-2.4pt5.8%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.6M
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+6.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+7.0pt9%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 more outcomes
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt79.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt11.1%
- Gemini2.8%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $405.1K
- 24h Vol
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- Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Cursor (Anysphere) and Claude (Anthropic) merge before the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 95% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Cursor (Anysphere) and Claude (Anthropic) merge before the end of 2026? resolve?
- Will Cursor (Anysphere) and Claude (Anthropic) merge before the end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 30, 2026.
- How is Will Cursor (Anysphere) and Claude (Anthropic) merge before the end of 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Anysphere, the developer of AI-powered coding assistant Cursor, and Anthropic, creator of the AI language model Claude, have both seen significant growth and investment in recent years.