Will combined 2026 AI capex from {AWS, Azure, GCP, Meta, Oracle} exceed $300B?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will combined 2026 AI capex from {AWS, Azure, GCP, Meta, Oracle} exceed $300B??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 90.1% as of October 27, 2026.

When does Will combined 2026 AI capex from {AWS, Azure, GCP, Meta, Oracle} exceed $300B? resolve?

Will combined 2026 AI capex from {AWS, Azure, GCP, Meta, Oracle} exceed $300B? is scheduled to resolve on February 28, 2027.

How is Will combined 2026 AI capex from {AWS, Azure, GCP, Meta, Oracle} exceed $300B? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if the sum of full-year 2026 capital expenditures from the following five companies exceeds $300 billion USD:

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KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202796.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt95%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+2.0pt94.5%

+9 more outcomes

Total Vol

$4M

24h Vol

$146.5K

POLYMARKET

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by which date?

• December 31-1.5pt31%
• October 31-2.5pt2%

+1 more outcomes

Total Vol

$1.1M

24h Vol

$77.2K

POLYMARKET

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

• Thom Tillis11%
• Kirsten Gillibrand9%
• Alex Padilla+0.5pt8%

+12 more outcomes

KALSHI

Will the Onion Futures Act be repealed?

• Before 2030+3.0pt29.5%
• Before 2029+11.0pt29.5%
• Before 202812.5%

POLYMARKET

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

• No96%
• Yes4%

Total Vol

$24.6M

24h Vol

$31.7K

POLYMARKET

Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by which date?

• 202834%
• 202722%
• June 30, 202717%

+1 more outcomes

Total Vol

$815.8K

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• Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
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