Will combined CoreWeave+Lambda+Crusoe 2026 revenue exceed $10B?
RegulationOne-OffCorporate Actions5moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 59.2%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleMay 4, 26, 8:22 PM UTCFeb 28, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolves YES if the combined calendar-year 2026 revenue of CoreWeave + Lambda Labs + Crusoe Energy/Cloud exceeds $10 billion USD.
- Source of truth:
- CoreWeave: SEC 10-K filing for fiscal year 2026 (CoreWeave is publicly traded as of 2025-IPO, ticker CRWV). 10-K typically filed in February-March of following year.
- Lambda Labs: company-disclosed revenue figure in any public communication (press release, earnings-equivalent, IPO filing if it IPOs in 2026, or otherwise self-reported in interview/podcast cited by major news outlet).
- Crusoe Energy: same as Lambda — company-disclosed in public communication.
- If any of the three companies does not publicly disclose a 2026 revenue figure by 2027-02-28, that company contributes their last publicly disclosed revenue figure to the sum, with explicit note of the staleness.
Open markets
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- No92%
- Yes8%
- Total Vol
- $21.7M
- 24h Vol
- $215.1K
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 202823.3%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-5.0pt20.7%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+5.0pt19.8%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $8M
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- December 15,83%
- November 30,78%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.3M
- 24h Vol
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt87%
- Before Mar 1, 202786%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+2.0pt84%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2M
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- Paramount77.7%
- None before July 2027+2.0pt18.4%
- Netflix+2.0pt3.9%
- Total Vol
- $4.3M
KALSHIWill data center power-cost standards become law?
- No86%
- Yes14%
- Total Vol
- $6.7K
- 24h Vol
- $6.7K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will combined CoreWeave+Lambda+Crusoe 2026 revenue exceed $10B??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 59% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Will combined CoreWeave+Lambda+Crusoe 2026 revenue exceed $10B? resolve?
- Will combined CoreWeave+Lambda+Crusoe 2026 revenue exceed $10B? is scheduled to resolve on February 28, 2027.
- How is Will combined CoreWeave+Lambda+Crusoe 2026 revenue exceed $10B? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if the combined calendar-year 2026 revenue of CoreWeave + Lambda Labs + Crusoe Energy/Cloud exceeds $10 billion USD.