Will ByteDance's valuation hit __ by November 30?
ExchangeOne-OffTechRegulationEquitiesCorporate ActionsBusiness & Corporate23d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
↓$565B · —
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Stored reference
↓$565B 58%Leader of 7 outcomes
↓$565B 58%Market quality
35 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.5K
Liquidity
$1.1K
Low liquidityOpen interest
$1.6K
Bid / Ask
— / —
↓$565BSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 32 minutes ago
Nov 2, 26, 11:01 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · ↓$565B
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Manifold MarketsWill ByteDance join the S&P 500?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ByteDance's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and November 30, 2026, is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH valuations, equal to or below for ↓ LOW valuations) the listed amount.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
- If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the specified date, this market will remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the specified date.
- If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
- If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
