Will artificial blood be used to treat a patient by the end of 2026?

Will cold showers be shown to be an effective treatment for depression by 2030

Yes: 22.8%

Will Demis Hassabis also win a Nobel Prize in Medicine?

Yes: 14.9%

Will there be a year without polio before 2030?

$15

Yes: 11%

When will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?

before September: 43%

When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?

before September: 29%

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Will artificial blood be used to treat a patient by the end of 2026?

One-OffHealth & Medicine Science5mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 13.2%

Forecasters

16

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 18 days ago

Stale

Apr 4, 24, 1:47 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Yes13%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

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