Current community forecast
No 79.6%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleSep 10, 26, 9:01 PM UTCDec 31, 00, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who gets the Millennium Prize for solving Navier-Stokes?
Manifold MarketsWill Grigori Perelman accept kudos before Christmas Eve 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a Millennium Prize Problem be solved in November 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiOpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point before January 1, 2101 (the end of the 21st century), the Clay Mathematics Institute (or its official successor organization) awards a Millennium Prize for the solution of any of the seven Millennium Prize Problems, and at least one recipient officially accepts the associated $1,000,000 cash prize (or their portion of it, if the prize is split).
- The market resolves to NO if either:
- December 31, 2100 passes without any individual or entity accepting a Millennium Prize; or
- All seven Millennium Prize Problems have been officially resolved and, for every prize awarded, all recipients decline the associated prize money, making a future YES resolution impossible.
- Notes and Edge Cases: