Current community forecast
Yes 64.3%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 54 minutes ago
LaggingAug 5, 26, 3:01 PM UTCDec 31, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM UTC, Anthropic officially releases or deploys an in-house, custom-designed silicon chip (developed by Anthropic's internal silicon/hardware team) to train or run its Claude AI models.
- "Release or deploy" is defined as any of the following:
- Anthropic publicly announces that it is actively using its proprietary, custom-designed chips for training or running Claude in production.
- Anthropic or its manufacturing partner officially announces the successful tape-out, shipping, or deployment of the custom silicon designed by Anthropic's in-house team.
- Exceptions & Clarifications:
