Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 69.6%
Forecasters
21
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Oct 19, 26, 6:49 PM UTCOct 25, 26, 11:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves YES if Anthropic officially releases a new Claude Fable model (newer than Fable 5.1) before October 26, 2026.
- The model must be available to general users through an official channel (Claude apps, API, or cloud partners).
- Releases limited to selected partners or testers do not count.
- Any version number counts (5.2, 5.5, 6, etc.).
- Rumors, leaks, and hidden-routing reports do not count.