KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 17, 2026, 9:30 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Above 11.5% · —
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Stored price
Above 11.5% 80%
Above 11.5% 80%Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$0
Open interest unknownBid / Ask
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Above 11.5%Spread
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Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Oct 16, 26, 4:00 PM UTCOct 21, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- No
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 11.5%
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Rules
If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 20, 2026 is above 11.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards - Labs
- This event resolves using the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 21, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 20, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 11.5%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 20, 2026 is above 11.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 11.8%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 20, 2026 is above 11.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 13.0%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 20, 2026 is above 13.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 13.2%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 20, 2026 is above 13.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 13.9%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 20, 2026 is above 13.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 14.5%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 20, 2026 is above 14.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 16.8%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 20, 2026 is above 16.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 17.2%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 20, 2026 is above 17.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 18.7%
- If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 20, 2026 is above 18.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
